BREAKING: Author/shewit woldemichael - Critical Update

Shewit Woldemichael

Crisis Group's Senior Analyst for Sudan

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Yet the fallout from the Iran war could push Gulf rivals to cooperate, opening space for diplomacy on Sudan.

OURE CASSONI, CHAD - FEBRUARY 24: Newly arrived Sudanese refugees wait to be registered in order to collect food aid at the Oure Cassoni refugee camp on February 24, 2026 in Oure Cassoni, Chad. In April 2023 civil war erupted between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the armed militia group Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The ongoing conflict has so far displaced around 14 million people across the region, triggering a widespread humanitarian crisis, as neighboring countries like Chad struggle to absorb refugees, while coping with populations already suffering high poverty rates and food insecurity. Chad has become Africa's largest host of refugees per capita, hosting a total 1.4 million refugees - more than 900,000 of which fled the conflict in Sudan. The most recent wave of arrivals from Sudan follows the RSF's offensive to capture the north Darfur city of El Fasher, where 6,000 people were reportedly killed by the RSF in the space of three days in October. A recent UN report has accused the RSF of atrocities that amount to war crimes and possible crimes against humanity. As many as 400,000 people have reportedly been killed since the conflict began. (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)

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